Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000109 0.000128 0.000148 0.000171 0.000196 0.000222 0.000252
2024-12-22 0.000085 0.000110 0.000138 0.000172 0.000211 0.000253 0.000304
2024-12-29 0.000072 0.000100 0.000132 0.000173 0.000220 0.000274 0.000339
2025-01-05 0.000060 0.000090 0.000126 0.000172 0.000228 0.000294 0.000374
2025-01-12 0.000049 0.000079 0.000117 0.000166 0.000229 0.000302 0.000394
2025-01-19 0.000044 0.000075 0.000116 0.000171 0.000241 0.000325 0.000432
2025-01-26 0.000036 0.000066 0.000107 0.000164 0.000239 0.000330 0.000447
2025-02-02 0.000031 0.000062 0.000104 0.000165 0.000247 0.000347 0.000477
2025-02-09 0.000027 0.000056 0.000100 0.000164 0.000250 0.000358 0.000500
2025-02-16 0.000025 0.000055 0.000101 0.000170 0.000263 0.000382 0.000538
2025-02-23 0.000022 0.000052 0.000099 0.000171 0.000270 0.000397 0.000567
2025-03-02 0.000018 0.000047 0.000094 0.000166 0.000269 0.000402 0.000582
2025-03-09 0.000015 0.000043 0.000090 0.000165 0.000273 0.000415 0.000608
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000039 0.000086 0.000164 0.000278 0.000429 0.000636
2025-03-23 0.000011 0.000037 0.000085 0.000166 0.000286 0.000448 0.000671
2025-03-30 0.000009 0.000034 0.000082 0.000164 0.000289 0.000459 0.000696
2025-04-06 0.000007 0.000030 0.000077 0.000160 0.000288 0.000464 0.000712
2025-04-13 0.000006 0.000029 0.000077 0.000163 0.000298 0.000486 0.000750
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000025 0.000071 0.000157 0.000295 0.000487 0.000762
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000023 0.000070 0.000158 0.000301 0.000503 0.000793
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000021 0.000067 0.000157 0.000304 0.000513 0.000816
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000021 0.000068 0.000162 0.000317 0.000539 0.000860
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000020 0.000067 0.000164 0.000324 0.000555 0.000892